Using system dynamics to support a participatory assessment of resilience

  • PDF / 1,587,422 Bytes
  • 14 Pages / 595.276 x 790.866 pts Page_size
  • 41 Downloads / 214 Views

DOWNLOAD

REPORT


Using system dynamics to support a participatory assessment of resilience Hugo Herrera1   · Birgit Kopainsky1

© The Author(s) 2020

Abstract Resilience has emerged as a buzzword among researchers and practitioners. However, despite its popularity, there has been little progress in moving it from a metaphor to applied projects. While case study research is rich with examples of systems that have proven to be resilient or are striving to develop resilience, the approaches for operationalising concepts described in the literature are still under development. This paper contributes to this development by incorporating system dynamics (SD) modelling within participatory approaches to resilience assessment. With this aim, we combined concepts and practices from the resilience literature with experiences, those documented in the literature and our own, applying system dynamics to resilience assessment. The proposed approach builds and complement other the literature by outlining a modelling process that is consistent with both the resilience literature and the SD modelling practices and providing a generic structure for designing interventions. Keywords  Resilience · Participation · Participatory assessment · Facilitated modelling

1 Introduction Resilience can be defined the adaptive ability of a system to maintain functionality even when the system is has been affected by a disturbance (Gallopín 2006; Holling and Gunderson 2002; Folke 2006; Walker et al. 2002, 2004). In contrast to traditional risk management approaches that focus mainly on discrete strategies, resilience emphasises building adaptive capacity by providing the system with the conditions that allow it to reorganise itself into configurations that are more effective for dealing with disturbances (Biggs et al. 2012; Bosomworth et al. 2017; Folke 2006; Walker et al. 2004). Rather than seeking an optional solution, approaches for assessing resilience are concerned with understanding the system, fostering learning and implementing strategies that enhance flexibility and adaptation (Carpenter and Gunderson 2001; Davoudi et al. 2013 2012; Hawes and * Hugo Herrera [email protected]; [email protected] Birgit Kopainsky [email protected] 1



Department of Geography, System Dynamics Group, University of Bergen, Fosswinckelsgate 6, 5007 Bergen, Norway

Reed 2006). This paper contributes to the development of operational approaches for the assessment of resilience by presenting an approach that incorporates system dynamics (SD) modelling with the participatory approach proposed by Walker and Salt (2012). Evidence from decades of using participatory system dynamics (SD), also known in the literature as group model building (GMB) (Andersen et al. 2007), and our own experience using GMB to address complex problems, suggests that SD conceptual diagrams and formal simulation models could be helpful tools for the assessment of resilience. SD is a modelling methodology focused on understanding the circular relationships (feedback loops) driving the outcomes o