What? Where? When? Why? Essays on Induction, Space and Time, Explana
Only in fairly recent years has History and Philosophy of Science been recog nised - though not always under that name - as a distinct field of scholarly endeavour. Previously, in the Australasian region as elsewhere, those few individuals working within
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AUSTRALASIAN STUDIES IN HISTORY AND PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE
General Editor: R. W. HOME,
University of Melbourne
Editorial Advisory Board: University of New South Wales
W. R. ALBURY,
B. D. ELLIS, 1. A.
La Trobe University
FARRALL,Deakin University
F. R. JEVONS, R. JOHNSTON,
University of Wo!longong
H. E. LE GRAND,
University of Melbourne
A. MUSGRA VE, D. R. OLDROYD, J. RONAYNE,
Deakin University
University of Otago
University of New South Wales
University ofNew South Wales
J. J. C. SM ART,
Australian National University
VOLUME 1
WESLEY C. SALMON
Photo: Ray Manley Portraits
WHAT? WHERE? WHEN? WHY? Essays on Induction, Space and Time, Explanation inspired by the work of WESLEY C. SALMON and celebrating his first visit to Australia, September - December 1978
Edited by ROBERT McLAUGHLIN School of History, Philosophy and Politics, Macquarie University, N.S. W., Australiil
D. REIDEL PUBLISHING COMPANY DORDRECHT: HOLLAND
I BOSTON: U.S.A.
LONDON: ENGLAND
Library of Congress cataloging in Publication Data Main entry under title: What? where? when? why? (Australasian studies in history and philosophy of science; 1) Includes bibliographies and indexes. Contents: Rational expectation and simplicity / F. John ClendinnenWhy should probability be the guide to life? / D. C. Stove-Chance and degrees of belief / D. H. Mellor-[etc.) 1. Science-Philosophy-Addresses, essays, lectures. 2. ScienceHistory-Addresses, essays, lectures. 3. Induction (Logic)-Addresses, essays, lectures. 4. Space and time-Addresses, essays, lectures. 5. Salmon, Wesley C. I. Salmon, Wesley C. II. McLaughlin, Robert, 1936. III. Series. QI75.3.W48 113 81-23484 ISBN-13: 978-94-009-7733-4
e-ISBN-13: 978-94-009-7731-0
001: 10.1007/978-94-009-7731-0
AACR2
Published by D. Reidel Publishing Company, P.O. Box 17,3300 AA Dordrecht, Holland. Sold and distributed in the U.S.A. and Canada by Kluwer Boston Inc., 190 Old Derby Street, Hingham, MA 02043, U.S.A.
In all other countries, sold and distributed by Kluwer Academic Publishers Group, P.O. Box 322, AH Dordrecht, Holland. D. Reidel Publishing Company is a member of the Kluwer Group.
All Rights Reserved Copyright © 1982 by D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht, Holland and copyrightholders as specified on appropriate pages within. Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st ed ition 1982
No part of the material protected by this copyright notice may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or by any informational storage and retrieval system, without written permission from the copyright owner
T ABLE OF CONTENTS
FOREWORD
~
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
~
EDITORIAL PREFACE F. JOHN CLENDINNEN / Rational Expectation and Simplicity
xiii 1
D. C. STOVE / Why Should Probability be the Guide of Life?
27
D. H. MELLOR / Chance and Degrees of Belief
49
ROBERT McLAUGHLIN / Invention and Appraisal
69
JOHN SAUNDERS and JOHN NORTON / Einstein, Light Signals
and the e-Decision
101
GRAHAM NERLICH / Simultaneity and Convention in