Rising serum CA-125 levels within the normal range is strongly associated recurrence risk and survival of ovarian cancer

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Rising serum CA-125 levels within the normal range is strongly associated recurrence risk and survival of ovarian cancer Szymon Piatek1,2* , Grzegorz Panek1, Zbigniew Lewandowski3, Mariusz Bidzinski2, Dominika Piatek4 , Przemyslaw Kosinski1 and Miroslaw Wielgos1

Abstract Background: In clinical practice alterations in CA-125 concentration within normal range in patients with ovarian cancer after first-line treatment are common. Even minor increase in CA-125 concentration is associated with patients’ anxiety and difficult interpretation and counselling for clinicians. The aim of this study was to evaluate the significance of CA-125 fluctuations within reference level in patients who suffered from ovarian cancer with complete response after first-line treatment. Results: 168 patients with epithelial ovarian cancer, who achieved complete remission after first line treatment were enrolled in the study. CA-125 concentration assessment was carried out during follow up visits. The recurrence of the disease was diagnosed on the first appearance of symptoms: clinical, radiological or histopathological/cytological. PFS and 5-year survival rate was calculated with Kaplan-Meier plots. Statistical analysis was performed with SAS / STAT® 9.4 / 14.4, SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA, 2017. Median concentration of CA-125 after first-line therapy was 10 U/ml. Increasing CA-125 concentration by > 5 U/ml, 3 and 6 months after the treatment was associated with higher risk of relapse (HR = 7.6, p < 0.0001 and HR = 5.29, p < 0.0001 respectively). 5year survival rate was significantly lower in patients with increased CA-125 by 5 U/ml, 3 and 6 months after therapy (56.79% vs 0 and 50.62% vs 15.55%). Conclusions: Increased concentration of CA-125 by > 5 U/ml within normal range, 3 and 6 months after treatment was unfavorable prognostic factor in ovarian cancer patients with complete response to primary therapy. Keywords: CA-125 changes, CA-125 normal range, Prognostic factor, Overall survival, Progression free survival

* Correspondence: [email protected] 1 1st Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Medical University of Warsaw, 1/3 Starynkiewicza Square, 02-015 Warsaw, Poland 2 Department of Gynecological Oncology, The Maria Sklodowska-Curie Institute – Oncology Center in Warsaw, 5 Roentgena Street, 02-781 Warsaw, Poland Full list of author information is available at the end of the article © The Author(s). 2020 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and