Seasonality in Human Mortality A Demographic Approach
Seasonal fluctuations in mortality are a persistent phenomenon across populations. In Western countries of the Northern hemisphere, mortality is typically larger in winter than in summer which is attributed to the detrimental effects of cold to health. Th
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Demographic Research Monographs E. Barbi, S. Bertino, E. Sonnino (Eds.) Inverse Projection Techniques 2004. XI, 137 pages. 3-540-20931-X G. Doblhammer The Late Life Legacy of Very Early Life 2004. X, 204 pages. 3-540-22105-0
Roland Rau
Seasonality in Human Mortality A Demographic Approach
With 60 Figures and 22 Tables
123
Dr. Roland Rau Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research Konrad-Zuse-Straße 1 18057 Rostock Germany
Diss., Univ. Rostock, 2005
Printed with the financial support of the Max Planck Society
Library of Congress Control Number: 2006934117
ISBN-10 3-540-44900-0 Springer Berlin Heidelberg New York ISBN-13 978-3-540-44900-3 Springer Berlin Heidelberg New York This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilm or in any other way, and storage in data banks. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the German Copyright Law of September 9, 1965, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer. Violations are liable to prosecution under the German Copyright Law. Springer is part of Springer Science+Business Media springer.com © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2007 The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. Production: LE-TEX Jelonek, Schmidt & Vöckler GbR, Leipzig Cover-design: Erich Kirchner, Heidelberg The front cover photo – top right-hand corner – includes a photograph by Harald Wenzel-Orf (www.wenzel-orf.de) and has been reproduced with his permission. SPIN 11867562
88/3100YL - 5 4 3 2 1 0
Printed on acid-free paper
To Magda
Foreword
This volume, “Seasonality in Human Mortality: A Demographic Approach” by Dr. Roland Rau, is the third book of a series of Demographic Research Monographs published by Springer Verlag. Dr. Rau is now a research scientist at the Duke University Population Research Institute (DuPRI), but at the time of his writing the book he was a research scientist at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research. The book is a slightly-revised version of his doctoral dissertation, which he completed at the Max Planck Institute and submitted to the University of Rostock. He was awarded highest honors, summa cum laude, for his dissertation and he was later awarded the Otto Hahn Medal of the Max Planck Society for his contribution. Rau’s research has three exceptional strengths. First, the book is meticulously researched. This is a superb example of careful reading and assessment of the corpus of relevant literature. More than 400 references are listed in the bibliography. Existing knowledge is judiciously evaluated, cogently organized and lucidly described. Rau presents
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