Sustainable Development and the Limitation of Growth Future Prospect

It is over 15 years since Agenda 21 was adopted in Rio de Janeiro, and over 100 countries have now espoused this code to use sustainable development as a means of avoiding an ecological catastrophe. However it is obvious that, even with this commitment, t

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Victor I. Danilov-Danil’yan, Kim S. Losev, and Igor E. Reyf

Sustainable Development and the Limitation of Growth Future Prospects for World Civilization

Published in association with

Praxis Publishing Chichester, UK

Dr Victor I. Danilov-Danil’yan Corresponding Member of the Russian Academy of Sciences; Director of the Water Institute at the Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow Russia Professor Dr Kim S. Losev Ecologist/Hydrologist All Russian Institute of Scientific & Technical Information of the Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow Russia Igor E. Reyf Journalist Frankfurt am Main Germany Translator: Associate Professor Vladimir Tumanov, Department of Modern Languages and Literatures, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada

SPRINGER–PRAXIS BOOKS IN ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES SUBJECT ADVISORY EDITOR: John Mason B.Sc., M.Sc., Ph.D.

ISBN 978-3-540-75249-3 Springer Berlin Heidelberg New York Springer is part of Springer-Science + Business Media (springer.com) Library of Congress Control Number: 2008939852 Apart from any fair dealing for the purposes of research or private study, or criticism or review, as permitted under the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, this publication may only be reproduced, stored or transmitted, in any form or by any means, with the prior permission in writing of the publishers, or in the case of reprographic reproduction in accordance with the terms of licences issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency. Enquiries concerning reproduction outside those terms should be sent to the publishers. # Praxis Publishing Ltd, Chichester, UK, 2009 Printed in Germany The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. Cover design: Jim Wilkie Translation editor: Dr Donald Rapp Project management: OPS Ltd, Gt Yarmouth, Norfolk, UK Printed on acid-free paper

Contents

Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

ix

Acknowledgements. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

xiii

List of figures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

xv

List of tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

xvii

List of abbreviations and acronyms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

xix

PART I

CIVILIZATION IN CRISIS: ON THE EDGE OF AN ABYSS . . . . . .

1

1

Global ecological situation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

3 21

2

Critically overpopulated planet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

25 37

3

The ecological equivalents of modern man . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .