The Pleasures of Statistics The Autobiography of Frederick Mosteller

From his unique perspective, renowned statistician and educator Frederick Mosteller describes many of the projects and events in his long career. From humble beginnings in western Pennsylvania to becoming the founding chairman of Harvard University’s Depa

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Frederick Mosteller

The Pleasures of Statistics The Autobiography of Frederick Mosteller

Edited by Stephen E. Fienberg, David C. Hoaglin, and Judith M. Tanur

Frederick Mosteller (1916-2006) Editors Stephen E. Fienberg Department of Statistics Carnegie Mellon University 5000 Forbes Avenue Pittsburgh PA 15213-3891 USA [email protected]

David C. Hoaglin Abt Bio-Pharma Solutions, Inc. 181 Spring Street Lexington MA 02421-8030 USA [email protected]

Judith M. Tanur Department of Sociology State University of New York, Stony Brook, 11794 USA [email protected]

ISBN 978-0-387-77955-3 e-ISBN 978-0-387-77956-0 DOI 10.1007/978-0-387-77956-0 Springer New York Dordrecht Heidelberg London Library of Congress Control Number: 2009942419 © Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2010 All rights reserved. This work may not be translated or copied in whole or in part without the written permission of the publisher (Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, 233 Spring Street, New York, NY 10013, USA), except for brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis. Use in connection with any form of information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed is forbidden. The use in this publication of trade names, trademarks, service marks, and similar terms, even if they are not identified as such, is not to be taken as an expression of opinion as to whether or not they are subject to proprietary rights. Printed on acid-free paper Springer is part of Springer Science+Business Media (www.springer.com)

Fred Mosteller, 1980.

Preface

In the summer of 2003, as Steve Fienberg was traveling through New England, he stopped to visit with Fred Mosteller and Dave Hoaglin, in part to discuss progress on the preparation of a volume of Fred’s papers. That work had inched along over an extended period of time, and we were trying to get the effort back on track. (The volume appeared the week after Fred passed away in the summer of 2006.) During the visit, Fred brought out a typewritten manuscript. It was an autobiography that he had prepared in the late 1980s. The latest draft was dated in 1990, and the manuscript was still not complete. Apparently this was one of the few occasions when Fred had not followed through on his own dictum, “Finish the job that’s nearest done,” and he had missed the deadline for a series of autobiographies being published by a major private foundation. Cleo Youtz, Fred’s longtime assistant and collaborator, had retrieved the manuscript and was encouraging him to work on it. He felt that he was no longer able to do so and asked us to arrange for its publication. We agreed to take charge of the manuscript and secured the collaboration of Judy Tanur. We chose to retain Fred’s voice and organizational schema, and have worked mainly to clean up details and put the manuscript into publishable form. Fred’s manuscript ended around 1990, even though he continued to work and publish throughout the follo