The prognostic value of CA19-9 response after neoadjuvant therapy in patients with pancreatic cancer: a systematic revie

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ORIGINAL ARTICLE

The prognostic value of CA19‑9 response after neoadjuvant therapy in patients with pancreatic cancer: a systematic review and pooled analysis Chen Ye1 · Abuduhaibaier Sadula1 · Siqian Ren1 · Xin Guo1 · Meng Yuan1 · Chunhui Yuan1   · Dianrong Xiu1 Received: 21 June 2020 / Accepted: 3 October 2020 © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2020

Abstract Background  Pancreatic cancer (PC) is a highly aggressive and refractory disease, with disappointing 5-year survival rates. Regarding the wide application of neoadjuvant treatment in patients with PC, how the post-neoadjuvant Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) response could translate into a survival benefit is not clearly understood. We aimed to evaluate the correlation of the CA19-9 response with overall survival (OS) in patients with PC receiving neoadjuvant therapy. Methods  An extensive electronic search in PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library was performed to identify relevant articles, from which data relevant to independent correlations of the CA19-9 response with overall survival (OS) were extracted for analysis. A random-effects model was used to calculate the pooled hazard ratios (HRs) with their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results  Altogether, 17 eligible studies were identified in the systematic review. Pooled analysis showed that CA19-9 response > 50% (HR, 0.43; 95% CI 0.29–0.56; P  50% after neoadjuvant treatment is significantly associated with promising overall survival in PDAC patients (HR = 0.47, 95% CI 0.33–0.61, P  50% response

7

Kobayashi [16] 2014, Japan

Mie University

Prosp

100

R, BR, LA

NCCN 2010

NCRT​

Gem based

40 > 50% response

8

Aldakkak [17] 2015, USA

MCW

Retro

235

R, BR

MCW

NCT + NCRT​

NR

95 normalized

7

Williams [18] 2016, USA

UCLA

Retro

109

BR, LA

AHPBA/SSO/ SSAT

NCT

5-FU based and others

40 normalized

5

Murakami [19] 2017, Japan

Hiroshima University Hospital

Retro

66

BR

NCCN 2016

NCT

Gem based or FOLFIRINOX

29 normalized

6

Rajamanickam [20] 2017, USA

MCW

Retro

123

R, BR

NCCN 2016

NCT, NCRT​ NCT + NCRT​

NR

63 normalized

7

Retro Reni [21] 2017, IRCCS Italy Ospedale San Raffaele

223

BR, LA

NCCN 2014

NCT

Gem based

37 > 50% response

7

Tsai [22] 2018, USA

Retro

131

R, BR

MCW

NCT, NCRT​ NCT + NCRT​

NR

58 normalized

8

Dhir [23] 2018, UPMC USA

Retro

193

R, BR

NCCN 2017

NCT or NCRT​ Gem based or FOLFIRINOX

142 normalized; 90 > 80% response

7

Truty [24] 2019, USA

Mayo Clinic

Retro

194

BR/LA

NR

NCT + NCRT​

FOLFIRINOX or GA

101 normalized 8

Yoo [25] 2019, Korea

AMC

Retro

135

BR,LA

NCCN 2016

NCT

Gem based or FOLFIRINOX

58 normalized

7

Macedo [26] 2019, USA

CPC

Retro

274

BR,LA

Alliance classification

NCT or NCRT​ FOLFIRINOX or GA

75 > 50% response

7

Aoki [27] 2020, Multicenter Japan Study

Retro

240

R, BR

NCCN 2016

NCT or NCRT​ NR

33 normalized

7

Maeda [28] 2020, USA

Mayo Clinic Rochester, University of California, and Tohoku University

Retro

305

R, BR

NCCN 2017

146 normalized 7 NC