What? Where? When? Why? Essays on Induction, Space and Time, Explana

Only in fairly recent years has History and Philosophy of Science been recog­ nised - though not always under that name - as a distinct field of scholarly endeavour. Previously, in the Australasian region as elsewhere, those few individuals working within

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AUSTRALASIAN STUDIES IN HISTORY AND PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE

General Editor: R. W. HOME,

University of Melbourne

Editorial Advisory Board: University of New South Wales

W. R. ALBURY,

B. D. ELLIS, 1. A.

La Trobe University

FARRALL,Deakin University

F. R. JEVONS, R. JOHNSTON,

University of Wo!longong

H. E. LE GRAND,

University of Melbourne

A. MUSGRA VE, D. R. OLDROYD, J. RONAYNE,

Deakin University

University of Otago

University of New South Wales

University ofNew South Wales

J. J. C. SM ART,

Australian National University

VOLUME 1

WESLEY C. SALMON

Photo: Ray Manley Portraits

WHAT? WHERE? WHEN? WHY? Essays on Induction, Space and Time, Explanation inspired by the work of WESLEY C. SALMON and celebrating his first visit to Australia, September - December 1978

Edited by ROBERT McLAUGHLIN School of History, Philosophy and Politics, Macquarie University, N.S. W., Australiil

D. REIDEL PUBLISHING COMPANY DORDRECHT: HOLLAND

I BOSTON: U.S.A.

LONDON: ENGLAND

Library of Congress cataloging in Publication Data Main entry under title: What? where? when? why? (Australasian studies in history and philosophy of science; 1) Includes bibliographies and indexes. Contents: Rational expectation and simplicity / F. John ClendinnenWhy should probability be the guide to life? / D. C. Stove-Chance and degrees of belief / D. H. Mellor-[etc.) 1. Science-Philosophy-Addresses, essays, lectures. 2. ScienceHistory-Addresses, essays, lectures. 3. Induction (Logic)-Addresses, essays, lectures. 4. Space and time-Addresses, essays, lectures. 5. Salmon, Wesley C. I. Salmon, Wesley C. II. McLaughlin, Robert, 1936. III. Series. QI75.3.W48 113 81-23484 ISBN-13: 978-94-009-7733-4

e-ISBN-13: 978-94-009-7731-0

001: 10.1007/978-94-009-7731-0

AACR2

Published by D. Reidel Publishing Company, P.O. Box 17,3300 AA Dordrecht, Holland. Sold and distributed in the U.S.A. and Canada by Kluwer Boston Inc., 190 Old Derby Street, Hingham, MA 02043, U.S.A.

In all other countries, sold and distributed by Kluwer Academic Publishers Group, P.O. Box 322, AH Dordrecht, Holland. D. Reidel Publishing Company is a member of the Kluwer Group.

All Rights Reserved Copyright © 1982 by D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht, Holland and copyrightholders as specified on appropriate pages within. Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st ed ition 1982

No part of the material protected by this copyright notice may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or by any informational storage and retrieval system, without written permission from the copyright owner

T ABLE OF CONTENTS

FOREWORD

~

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

~

EDITORIAL PREFACE F. JOHN CLENDINNEN / Rational Expectation and Simplicity

xiii 1

D. C. STOVE / Why Should Probability be the Guide of Life?

27

D. H. MELLOR / Chance and Degrees of Belief

49

ROBERT McLAUGHLIN / Invention and Appraisal

69

JOHN SAUNDERS and JOHN NORTON / Einstein, Light Signals

and the e-Decision

101

GRAHAM NERLICH / Simultaneity and Convention in