Advanced Reliability Models and Maintenance Policies

Reliability theory is a major concern for engineers and managers engaged in making high quality products and designing highly reliable systems. Advanced Reliability Models and Maintenance Policies is a survey of new research topics in reliability theory a

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Series Editor Professor Hoang Pham Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey 96 Frelinghuysen Road Piscataway, NJ 08854-8018 USA

Other titles in this series The Universal Generating Function in Reliability Analysis and Optimization Gregory Levitin Warranty Management and Product Manufacture D.N.P Murthy and Wallace R. Blischke Maintenance Theory of Reliability Toshio Nakagawa System Software Reliability Hoang Pham Reliability and Optimal Maintenance Hongzhou Wang and Hoang Pham Applied Reliability and Quality B.S. Dhillon Shock and Damage Models in Reliability Theory Toshio Nakagawa Risk Management Terje Aven and Jan Erik Vinnem Satisfying Safety Goals by Probabilistic Risk Assessment Hiromitsu Kumamoto Offshore Risk Assessment (2nd Edition) Jan Erik Vinnem The Maintenance Management Framework Adolfo Crespo Márquez Human Reliability and Error in Transportation Systems B.S. Dhillon Complex System Maintenance Handbook D.N.P. Murthy and K.A.H. Kobbacy Recent Advances in Reliability and Quality in Design Hoang Pham Product Reliability D.N. Prabhakar Murthy, Marvin Rausand and Trond Østerås Mining Equipment Reliability, Maintainability, and Safety B.S. Dhillon

Toshio Nakagawa

Advanced Reliability Models and Maintenance Policies

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Toshio Nakagawa, Dr. Eng. Dept. of Marketing and Information Systems Aichi Institute of Technology 1247 Yachigusa Yakusa-cho Toyota 470-0392 Japan

ISBN 978-1-84800-293-7

e-ISBN 978-1-84800-294-4

DOI 10.1007/978-1-84800-294-4 Springer Series in Reliability Engineering ISSN 1614-7839 British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data Nakagawa, Toshio, 1942Advanced reliability models and maintenance policies. (Springer series in reliability engineering) 1. Reliability (Engineering) I. Title 620'.00452 ISBN-13: 9781848002937 Library of Congress Control Number: 2008926907 © 2008 Springer-Verlag London Limited Apart from any fair dealing for the purposes of research or private study, or criticism or review, as permitted under the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, this publication may only be reproduced, stored or transmitted, in any form or by any means, with the prior permission in writing of the publishers, or in the case of reprographic reproduction in accordance with the terms of licences issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency. Enquiries concerning reproduction outside those terms should be sent to the publishers. The use of registered names, trademarks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher makes no representation, express or implied, with regard to the accuracy of the information contained in this book and cannot accept any legal responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions that may be made. Cover design: deblik, Berlin, Germany Printed on acid-free paper 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 springer.com

Preface

Many accidents have happened this year in the whole world: