Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States A Report
Prepared for the 2013 National Climate Assessment and a landmark study in terms of its breadth and depth of coverage, this report blends the contributions of 120 experts in climate science, economics, ecology, engineering, geography, hydrology, planning,
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Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment
Edited by: Gregg Garfin Angela Jardine Robert Merideth Mary Black Sarah LeRoy
Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment
© 2013 Institute of the Environment All rights reserved under International and Pan-American Copyright Conventions. Reproduction of this report by electronic means for personal and noncommercial purposes is permitted as long as proper acknowledgement is included. Users are restricted from photocopying or mechanical reproduction as well as creating derivative works for commercial purposes without the prior written permission of the publisher. ISLAND PRESS is a trademark of the Center for Resource Economics. Printed on recycled, acid-free paper Manufactured in the United States of America Citation: Garfin, G., A. Jardine, R. Merideth, M. Black, and S. LeRoy, eds. 2013. Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment. A report by the Southwest Climate Alliance. Washington, DC: Island Press. Keywords: Adaptation, agriculture, air quality, assessment, atmospheric river, biodiversity, climate change, climate impacts, climate modeling, climate variability, coastal, Colorado River, decision making, drought, electric power generation, extreme events, flooding, forest mortality, Great Basin, heat related illness, heat wave, land-use change, mitigation, Native American tribes, natural resource management, ocean acidification, phenology, public health, ranching, Rio Grande, Sacramento-San Joaquin, sea-level rise, social vulnerability, Southwest, stationarity, uncertainty, urban metabolism, U.S.Mexico border, vector-borne disease, water resources, wildfire This technical input document in its current form does not represent a Federal document of any kind and should not be interpreted as the position or policy of any Federal, State, Local, or Tribal Government or Non-governmental entity. Front Cover Images: Eagle Dancers courtesy of the New Mexico Tourism Department. All other images courtesy of iStock.
About This Series This report is published as one of a series of technical inputs to the National Climate Assessment (NCA) 2013 report. The NCA is being conducted under the auspices of the Global Change Research Act of 1990, which requires a report to the President and Congress every four years on the status of climate change science and impacts. The NCA informs the nation about already observed changes, the current status of the climate, and anticipated trends for the future. The NCA report process integrates scientific information from multiple sources and sectors to highlight key findings and significant gaps in our knowledge. Findings from the NCA provide input to federal science priorities and are used by U.S. citizens, communities and businesses as they create more sustainable and environmentally sound plans for the nation’s future. In fall of 2011, t
