Climate and Conservation Landscape and Seascape Science, Planning, a

Climate and Conservation presents case studies from around the world of leading-edge projects focused on climate change adaptation-regional-scale endeavors where scientists, managers, and practitioners are working to protect biodiversity by protecting lan

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Climate and Conservation landscape and seascape science, planning, and action

Edited by Jodi A. Hilty, Charles C. Chester, and Molly S. Cross

Washington | Covelo | London

Copyright © 2012 Island Press All rights reserved under International and Pan-American Copyright Conventions. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form or by any means without permission in writing from the publisher: Island Press, 1718 Connecticut Avenue NW, Suite 300, Washington, DC 20009 Island Press is a trademark of The Center for Resource Economics.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Climate and conservation : landscape and seascape science, planning, and action / edited by Jodi A. Hilty, Charles C. Chester, and Molly S. Cross. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN-13: 978-1-61091-170-2 (cloth : alk. paper) ISBN-10: 1-61091-170-9 (cloth : alk. paper) ISBN-13: 978-1-61091-171-9 (pbk. : alk. paper) ISBN-10: 1-61091-171-7 (pbk. : alk. paper) 1. Biodiversity conservation. 2. Climate change mitigation. 3. Endangered ecosystems. 4. Ecosystem management. I. Hilty, Jodi A. II. Chester, Charles C. III. Cross, Molly S. QH75.C56 2012 333.95'16—dc23 2012001573

Printed on recycled, acid-free paper

Manufactured in the United States of America 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 keywords: Island Press, Landscapes, seascapes, conservation, climate change, climate stress, climate strategy, adaptation, conservation planning, biodiversity, resilience, resistance, transformation, conservation area networks, livelihoods, science, connectivity, corridor, ecosystem-based adaptation, wildlife, ecosystems, large-scale conservation.

To hope for our children Samuel, Caleb, and Sophia Chester; Jesse House and Remi Hilty; Phoebe and Willa Cross; and to the future of biodiversity

contents

Foreword

xiii

Preface

xv

PART 1

SETTING THE CONTEXT

1

Chapter 1

Climate Change Science, Impacts, and Opportunities

3

Charles C. Chester, Jodi A. Hilty, and Stephen C. Trombulak Chapter 2

Landscape and Seascape Climate Change Planning and Action

16

Molly S. Cross, Anne M. Schrag, Evan H. Girvetz, and Carolyn A. F. Enquist

PART 2

EQUATORIAL AND TROPICAL LANDSCAPES

31

Chapter 3

Albertine Rift, Africa

33

Anton Seimon and Andrew Plumptre Chapter 4

The Brazilian Amazon

45

Eneas Salati, Marc Dourojeanni, Agenor Mundim, Gilvan Sampaio, and Thomas Lovejoy Chapter 5

Mesoamerican Biological Corridor

56

Margaret Buck Holland

PART 3

TEMPERATE AND MEDITERRANEAN LANDSCAPES

67

Chapter 6

Boreal Forest, Canada

69

Meg Krawchuk, Kim Lisgo, Shawn Leroux, Pierre Vernier, Steve Cumming, and Fiona Schmiegelow Chapter 7

Cape Floristic Region, South Africa Lee Hannah, Dave Panitz, and Guy Midgley

80

x Contents

Chapter 8

Eastern Mongolian Grassland Steppe

92

Evan H. Girvetz, Robert McDonald, Michael Heiner, Joseph Kiesecker, Galbadrakh Davaa, Chris Pague, Matthew Durnin, and Enkhtuya Oidov Chapter 9

Northern Great Plains, North America

104

Anne M. Schrag and Steve Forrest Chapter 10 Washington State, USA

115

Meade Krosby, Je