Food Dependency in the Middle East and North Africa Region Retrospec

At present, 40% of the agri-food needs of the Middle-East and North Africa (MENA) region is covered by imports, whereas this figure was just about 10% in the beginning of the 1960’s. Demographic growth and diet change has combined to increase food demand

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Dependency in the Middle East and North Africa Region Retrospective Analysis and Projections to 2050

Food Dependency in the Middle East and North Africa Region

Chantal Le Mouël  •  Bertrand Schmitt Editors

Food Dependency in the Middle East and North Africa Region Retrospective Analysis and Projections to 2050

Editors Chantal Le Mouël UMR SMART-LERECO INRA Rennes, France

Bertrand Schmitt DEPE INRA Paris, France

ISBN 978-94-024-1562-9    ISBN 978-94-024-1563-6 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-024-1563-6 Library of Congress Control Number: 2018953589 Éditions Quæ, R10, 78026 Versailles cedex, France © Éditions Quæ 2018 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors, and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature B.V. The registered company address is: Van Godewijckstraat 30, 3311 GX Dordrecht, The Netherlands

Foreword

This publication is the result of a study produced at the request of and with the support of the Pluriagri1 association, with the full report available in Le Mouël et al. (2015) and Marty (2015a). It was conducted by INRA’s Unit for Collective Expertise, Foresight and Advanced Studies (DEPE) and coordinated by Chantal Le Mouël (INRA, SAE2) and Bertrand Schmitt (INRA, DEPE). It has benefitted from major contributions from Pauline Marty (INRA, DEPE), Agneta Forslund (INRA, SAE2) and Stéphane Manceron (INRA, DEPE), as well as Elodie Marajo-Petitzon (INRA, SAE2) and Marc-Antoine Caillaud (INRA, DEPE). Together, they have formed the project team for this study with Marion Barbier and then Kim Girard providing efficient and skilful administrative and logistical support. Both the retrospective analysis and the simulations presented here were based on GlobAgri,2 the quantitative tool developed by INRA and CIRAD as part of the Agrimonde-Terra foresight study, conducted jointly by the two organisations (INRA an