Future Challenges

The survival of NATO depends on its ability to respond to future challenges from new threats. NATO’s distinctive attributes are an established alliance, an experienced command structure and capable military forces. Alternatives to NATO are assessed. Propo

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NATO at 70

Keith Hartley

NATO at 70 A Political Economy Perspective

Keith Hartley Emeritus Professor of Economics University of York York, UK

ISBN 978-3-030-54394-5    ISBN 978-3-030-54395-2 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-54395-2 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the ­publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, expressed or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and ­institutional affiliations. Cover pattern © Melisa Hasan This Palgrave Macmillan imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Switzerland AG. The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland

To my wife, Winifred, and to our family: Adam, Rachel, Oliver and Imogen Hartley Professor Lucy Hartley Dr Cecila Ellis and Martyn, Matthew Jacob, Kathryn Olivia and Sophie Elizabeth Ellis

Preface

Much of my academic career has been devoted to defence economics. The opportunity to review and evaluate NATO after its 70 year existence was not to be missed. This book takes a non-technical economics perspective using only two diagrams! For many people NATO has been ever present: taken for granted as a well-established institution. After 70 years, it must be doing something right. This book assesses what it is doing right and what it is doing wrong. NATO has changed massively since its formation in 1949. Who would have guessed that it would survive for 70 years and increase its membership from 12 members to 30; that it would win the Cold War; that former members of the Warsaw Pact would become NATO members; and that it would adapt to a new strategic environment, new conflicts and new technology. Despite these successes and adjustments, critics continue to question its existence. This book aims to subject myths, emotion and special pleading about NATO to economic analysis and scrutiny. Much has been written about NATO: so why a