Geospatial estimation of reproductive, maternal, newborn and child health indicators: a systematic review of methodologi

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International Journal of Health Geographics Open Access

REVIEW

Geospatial estimation of reproductive, maternal, newborn and child health indicators: a systematic review of methodological aspects of studies based on household surveys Leonardo Z. Ferreira1,2*  , Cauane Blumenberg1, C. Edson Utazi3, Kristine Nilsen3, Fernando P. Hartwig2, Andrew J. Tatem3 and Aluisio J. D. Barros1,2

Abstract  Background:  Geospatial approaches are increasingly used to produce fine spatial scale estimates of reproductive, maternal, newborn and child health (RMNCH) indicators in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). This study aims to describe important methodological aspects and specificities of geospatial approaches applied to RMNCH coverage and impact outcomes and enable non-specialist readers to critically evaluate and interpret these studies. Methods:  Two independent searches were carried out using Medline, Web of Science, Scopus, SCIELO and LILACS electronic databases. Studies based on survey data using geospatial approaches on RMNCH in LMICs were considered eligible. Studies whose outcomes were not measures of occurrence were excluded. Results:  We identified 82 studies focused on over 30 different RMNCH outcomes. Bayesian hierarchical models were the predominant modeling approach found in 62 studies. 5 × 5 km estimates were the most common resolution and the main source of information was Demographic and Health Surveys. Model validation was under reported, with the out-of-sample method being reported in only 56% of the studies and 13% of the studies did not present a single validation metric. Uncertainty assessment and reporting lacked standardization, and more than a quarter of the studies failed to report any uncertainty measure. Conclusions:  The field of geospatial estimation focused on RMNCH outcomes is clearly expanding. However, despite the adoption of a standardized conceptual modeling framework for generating finer spatial scale estimates, methodological aspects such as model validation and uncertainty demand further attention as they are both essential in assisting the reader to evaluate the estimates that are being presented. Keywords:  Geospatial modeling, Small area estimation, Reproductive health, Maternal health, Newborn health, Child health, Low- and middle-income countries, Household surveys

*Correspondence: [email protected] 1 International Center for Equity in Health, Universidade Federal de Pelotas, Pelotas, Brazil Full list of author information is available at the end of the article

Background Reproductive, maternal, newborn and child health (RMNCH) is central to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) agenda for 2030 given its potential for improving health and quality of life of current and future generations as summarized by the motto “survive, thrive, transform” adopted by the Every Woman Every Child initiative [1]. Despite progress in the area, with the increase

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