Integrated Risk and Vulnerability Management Assisted by Decision Support Systems
Introduction This book includes terms of reference and offers an augmented volume of relevant work initiated within the comprehensive concept of “Knowledge Management and Risk Governance”. The latter stood for the initial title of an ad-hoc meeting held i
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TOPICS IN SAFETY, RISK, RELIABILITY AND QUALITY VOLUME 8 Editor Adrian V. Gheorghe Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zürich, Switzerland Editorial Advisory Board P. Sander, Technical University of Eindhoven, The Netherlands D.C. Barrie, Lakehead University, Ontario, Canada R. Leitch, Royal Military College of Science (Cranfield), Shriverham, U.K. Aims and Scope. Fundamental questions which are being asked these days of all products, processes and services with ever increasing frequency are: What is the risk? How safe is it? How reliable is it? How good is the quality? How much does it cost? This is particularly true as the government, industry, public, customers and society become increasingly informed and articulate. In practice none of the three topics can be considered in isolation as they all interact and interrelate in very complex and subtle ways and require a range of disciplines for their description and application; they encompass the social, engineering and physical sciences and quantitative disciplines including mathematics, probability theory and statistics. The major objective of the series is to provide a series of authoritative texts suitable for academic taught courses, reference purposes, post graduate and other research and practitioners generally working or strongly associated with areas such as: Safety Assessment and Management Emergency Planning Risk Management Reliability Analysis and Assessment Vulnerability Assessment and Management Quality Assurance and Management Special emphasis is placed on texts with regard to readability, relevance, clarity, applicability, rigour and generally sound quantitative content.
The titles published in this series are listed at the end of this volume.
Integrated Risk and Vulnerability Management Assisted by Decision Support Systems Relevance and Impact on Governance
Edited by Adrian V. GHEORGHE Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zürich, Switzerland
A C.I.P. Catalogue record for this book is available from the Library of Congress.
ISBN-10 ISBN-13 ISBN-10 ISBN-13
1-4020-3451-2 (HB) 978-1-4020-3451-0 (HB) 1-4020-3721-X (e-book) 978-1-4020-3721-4 (e-book)
Published by Springer, P.O. Box 17, 3300 AA Dordrecht, The Netherlands. www.springeronline.com
Printed on acid-free paper
All Rights Reserved © 2005 Springer No part of this work may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, microfilming, recording or otherwise, without written permission from the Publisher, with the exception of any material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Printed in the Netherlands.
Motto: “In companies today, only 10% to 20% of users access DSS tools. To reach the remaining 90% to 80%, companies are going to need to embed analytics into core solutions.” - PricewaterhouseCoopers Consulting -
Contents
PREFACE ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
xv xxiii
I.
DISASTER RISK AND VULNERABILITY MANAGEMENT
