Invasive potential of golden and zebra mussels in present and future climatic scenarios in the new world
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INVASIVE SPECIES III
Invasive potential of golden and zebra mussels in present and future climatic scenarios in the new world Danielle Katharine Petsch . Luiz Guilherme dos Santos Ribas . Tatiane Mantovano . Mikaela Marques Pulzatto . Andreia Teixeira Alves . Gisele Daiane Pinha . Sidinei Magela Thomaz
Received: 16 May 2020 / Revised: 17 August 2020 / Accepted: 10 September 2020 Ó Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020
Abstract Biological invasions and climate change are important drivers of biodiversity loss. In freshwater ecosystems, golden and zebra mussels are two highly aggressive invasive species that have caused ecological and economic damages in South and North America, respectively. Here, we used ecological niche models (ENMs) to investigate the invasive potential of golden and zebra mussels in present and future scenarios of global warming in the New World. We found two main patterns in the distribution of Guest editors: Katya E. Kovalenko, Fernando M. Pelicice, Lee B. Kats, Jonne Kotta & Sidinei M. Thomaz / Aquatic Invasive Species III D. K. Petsch (&) T. Mantovano M. M. Pulzatto G. D. Pinha S. M. Thomaz Nu´cleo de Pesquisa em Limnologia, Ictiologia e Aqu¨icultura (Nupe´lia), Universidade Estadual de Maringa´, Maringa´, PR 87020-900, Brazil e-mail: [email protected] D. K. Petsch T. Mantovano M. M. Pulzatto S. M. Thomaz Programa de Po´s-Graduac¸a˜o em Ecologia de Ambientes Aqua´ticos Continentais (PEA), Universidade Estadual de Maringa´, Maringa´, Parana´, Brazil
suitable areas for golden and zebra mussels. First, the distribution of potentially suitable areas, both in present and future scenarios, is different between mussel species: zebra mussel has areas that are more suitable in temperate regions, while suitable areas for golden mussel are concentrated in tropical and subtropical regions. Second, suitable habitats for golden mussel will increase more in future global warming scenarios compared to suitable habitats for zebra mussel. Indeed, there are experimental indications that zebra mussel has a lower tolerance to high temperatures compared to golden mussel, which is in agreement with our findings. We recommend that the
L. Guilherme dos SantosRibas Laborato´rio de Ecologia Teo´rica e Sı´ntese, Departamento de Ecologia, Universidade Federal de Goia´s, Goiaˆnia, GO 74001-970, Brazil A. T. Alves Laborato´rio de Ecologia Bentoˆnica, Instituto de Biologia & CIENAM, Universidade Federal da Bahia, Salvador, BA 40170-115, Brazil
L. Guilherme dos SantosRibas Programa de Po´s-graduac¸a˜o em Ecologia e Evoluc¸a˜o, Universidade Federal de Goia´s, Goiaˆnia, GO 74001-970, Brazil
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Hydrobiologia
future monitoring of both golden and zebra mussels in the New World should consider areas of highest thermic suitability for current and future scenarios. Keywords Limnoperna fortunei Dreissena polymorpha Biological invasion Species distribution models Climatic change
Introduction Freshwater biodiversity has declined faster than biodiversity o
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