Metabolic parameters of sequential 18F-FDG PET/CT predict overall survival of esophageal cancer patients treated with (c
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RESEARCH
Open Access
Metabolic parameters of sequential 18F-FDG PET/CT predict overall survival of esophageal cancer patients treated with (chemo-) radiation Yimin Li1†, Sebastian Zschaeck2†, Qin Lin1*, Sijia Chen1, Lili Chen1 and Hua Wu3*
Abstract Background: To evaluate the prognostic value of metabolic parameters of pre-treatment and interim 18Ffluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) for overall survival (OS) of esophageal cancer(EC) patients undergoing (chemo-) radiotherapy. Methods: A retrospective analysis of 134 patients with pathology confirmed squamous cell EC treated between July 2009 and October 2013 in our hospital was performed. Inclusion criteria for this study were curative intended radiotherapy and availability of pre-treatment and interim 18F-FDG PET. 18F-FDG PET/CT scans were acquired before treatment and after 40 Gray (Gy) of radiotherapy. Maximum standard uptake value (SUVmax), metabolic tumor volume(MTV), total lesion glycolysis (TLG), and the percentual changes during both PET scans were recorded. The parameters were named as SUVmax1,MTV1,TLG1,SUVmax2,MTV2,TLG2,△SUVmax,△MTV and △TLG. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to analyze the relationship between metabolic parameters and OS, survival analysis was carried out by Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analysis. Results: Univariate survival analysis showed that SUVmax2、MTV1、△MTV、TLG1、TLG2 and △TLG were associated with OS. Based on the largest Youden index of ROC curves, patients with SUVmax2 < 7.8, MTV1 < 10.5, △MTV < 0.075, TLG1 < 59.8, TLG2 < 44.3 and △TLG < 0.27 tended to live longer. Stratified for these parameters, the estimated median survival time were 27.9 months (m) vs 9.8 m, 36.9 m vs 11.3 m, 41.6 m vs 12 m, 48.9 m vs 14.3 m, 32.6 m vs 13.2 m, and 41.6 m vs 14.5 m. Cox multi-factor regression analyses revealed SUVmax2 as an independent prognostic factor for OS complementary to TNM staging and the length of primary tumor. Conclusions: Sequential 18F-FDG PET/CT metabolic parameters bear important prognostic value for OS of EC patients. 18F-FDG PET/CT scan before treatment and during chemoradiotherapy seems helpful to evaluate the effect of chemoradiotherapy, guide clinical decisions and provide patients with personalized treatment. Keywords: Esophageal cancer, 18F-FDG PET/CT, Chemoradiotherapy
* Correspondence: [email protected]; [email protected] † Yimin Li and Sebastian Zschaeck contributed equally to this work. 1 Department of Radiation Oncology, Xiamen Cancer Hospital, the First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University, Xiamen, China 3 Department of Nuclear Medicine, Xiamen Cancer Hospital, the First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University/Southern Fujian PET Center, Xiamen, China Full list of author information is available at the end of the article © The Author(s). 2019 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and repr
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