Panels for Transportation Planning Methods and Applications

Panels for Transportation Planning argues that panels - repeated measurements on the same sets of households or individuals over time - can more effectively capture dynamic changes in travel behavior, and the factors which underlie these changes, than can

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Transportation Research, Economics and Policy VOLUMES

Editorial Board: Yossi Berechman Department of Economics & Public Policy, Tel Aviv University, Israel Kenneth Small Department of Economics, University of California at Irvine, U. S.A.

The titles published in this series are listed at the end of this volume.

Panels for Transportation Planning Methods and Applications

Edited by

THOMAS F. GOLOB Institute of Transportation Studies University of California, Irvine

RYUICHI KITAMURA Department of Transportation Engineering Kyoto University

and

LYN LONG Institute of Transportation Studies University of California, Irvine

....

"

SPRINGER SCIENCE+BUSINESS MEDIA, LLC

Library of Congress Calaloging.in·Publication Data

A C.l.P. Catalogue record for this book is available from

ilie Library of Congress.

ISBN 978-1-4419-5184-7 ISBN 978-1-4757-2642-8 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-4757-2642-8

Copyright

c 1997 by Springer Science+Business Media New York Originally publishcd by K1uwer Academic Publi~hers in 1997 Softcover reprint ofthe hardcover Ist edition 1997

AlI rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, mechanica1, photo-copying, recording, or otheIWise, without the prior written permission of the publisher. Springer Scimce+BusÎness Media, LLC.

Prinred on acid-free paper

For our parents, whose understanding of the life-cycle process is greater than our own. THOMAS GOLOB 1909-1980 ANGELA GOLOB

SEIICHI KITAMURA 1913-1992 SIZUE KITAMURA EDWARD FELSENFELD 1917-1969 MIRIAM FELSENFELD 1923-1995

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Contributing Authors Acknowledgements Introduction PANELS FOR TRANSPORTATION PLANNING: THEORETICAL ISSUES AND EMPIRICAL CHALLENGES LYNLONG

xi xiii

xv

Part I PANELS FOR TRANSPORTATION PLANNING Chapter One WHY PANELS FOR TRANSPORTATION PLANNING? ROBERT E. PAASWELL Chapter Two A REVIEW OF EMPIRICAL STUDIES AND APPLICATIONS TIMOTHY RAIMOND AND DAVID A. HENSHER

3

15

Part II PANELS AS EVALUATION TOOLS INTRODUCTION BY MARTIN LEE-GOSSELIN

75

Chapter Three HAVE PANEL SURVEYS TOLD US ANYTHING NEW? P.B. GOODWIN

79

Chapter Four A PANEL·BASED EVALUATION OF THE SAN DIEGO 1-15 CARPOOL LANES PROJECT THOMAS F. GOLOB, RYUICHI KITAMURA, AND JANUSZ SUPERNAK

97

viii Chapter Five AN EMPLOYER PANEL FOR EVALUATING THE EFFECTIVENESS OF TRIP REDUCTION INCENTIVES GENEVIEVE GIULIANO AND MARTIN WACHS

129

Part III REGIONAL PLANNING APPLICATIONS INTRODUCTION BY T. KEITH LAWTON

155

Chapter Six THE PUGET SOUND TRANSPORTATION PANEL ELAINE MURAKAMI AND CYRUS ULBERG

159

Chapter Seven PLANNING FOR PANEL SURVEYS IN THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA CHARLES L. PURVIS

193

Part IV ACCOUNTING FOR RESPONSE BIAS INTRODUCTION BY JOEL HOROWITZ Chapter Eight ATTRITION AND RESPONSE EFFECTS IN THE DUTCH NATIONAL MOBILITY PANEL HENK MEURS AND GEERT RIDDER Chapter Nine WEIGHTING METHODS FOR ATTRITION IN CHOICE-BASED PANELS RAM M. PENDYALA AND RYUICHI KITAMURA Chapter Ten MULTIPLY-IMPUTED SAMPLING WEIGHTS FOR CONSISTENT INFERENCE WITH PANEL ATTR