Population Dynamics and Projection Methods
Although the human population growth rate of the world has been declining since peaking in the early 1960s, the populations of individual countries are changing at different rates. Population dynamics at national level are partly determined by
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Understanding Population Trends and Processes Volume 4
Series Editor J. Stillwell In western Europe and other developed parts of the world, there are some very significant demographic processes taking place at the individual, household, community and national scales including the ageing of the population, the delay in childbearing, the rise in childlessness, the increase in divorce, the fall in marriage rates, the increase in cohabitation, the increase in mixed marriages, the change in household structures, the rise in step-parenting and the appearance of new streams of migration taking place both within and between countries. The relationships between demographic change, international migration, labour and housing market dynamics, care provision and intergenerational attitudes are complex to understand and yet it is vital to quantify the trends and to understand the processes. Similarly, it is critical to appreciate what the policy consequences are for the trends and processes that have become apparent. This series has its roots in understanding and analysing these trends and processes. This series will be of interest to a wide range of individuals concerned with demographic and social change, including demographers, population geographers, sociologists, economists, political scientists, epidemiologists and health researchers as well as practitioners and commentators across the social sciences.
For further volumes: http://www.springer.com/series/8113
Population Dynamics and Projection Methods Understanding Population Trends and Processes – Volume 4
Edited by John Stillwell University of Leeds, UK and
Martin Clarke University of Leeds, UK
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Editors Prof. John Stillwell University of Leeds School of Geography Woodhouse Lane LS2 9JT Leeds UK [email protected]
Prof. Martin Clarke University of Leeds School of Geography Woodhouse Lane LS2 9JT Leeds UK [email protected]
ISBN 978-90-481-8929-8 e-ISBN 978-90-481-8930-4 DOI 10.1007/978-90-481-8930-4 Springer Dordrecht Heidelberg London New York Library of Congress Control Number: 2011920950 © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011 No part of this work may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, microfilming, recording or otherwise, without written permission from the Publisher, with the exception of any material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Printed on acid-free paper Springer is part of Springer Science+Business Media (www.springer.com)
Preface
Good understanding of contemporary demographic structure and population dynamics underpins effective planning and decision making for the future. One of the key contributors to the development of a range of population projection methodologies over the past 40 years is Professor Philip Rees at the University of Leeds. This book contains an eclectic range of methodological and substantive contributions by a
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