The Collapse of North Korea Challenges, Planning and Geopolitics of

This book highlights the increasing risk of North Korea’s collapse and considers the necessary actions that would enable the neighboring powers to prepare for such an event. North Korea's deteriorating economic conditions, its reliance on external assista

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Tara O

The Collapse of North Korea

Tara O

The Collapse of North Korea Challenges, Planning and Geopolitics of Unification

Tara O Pacific Forum Center for Strategic and International Studies Honolulu, USA

ISBN 978-1-137-59800-4 ISBN 978-1-137-59801-1 DOI 10.1057/978-1-137-59801-1

(eBook)

Library of Congress Control Number: 2016941865 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2016 The author(s) has/have asserted their right(s) to be identified as the author(s) of this work in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. Cover illustration: © Melisa Hasan Printed on acid-free paper This Palgrave Macmillan imprint is published by Springer Nature The registered company is Macmillan Publishers Ltd. London

To my grandmother and my parents and all those hoping for Korean unification

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

I am grateful to numerous friends and colleagues. In particular, Bruce Bechtol gave me the encouragement I needed to take this work to the publishing stage. Kongdan “Katy” Oh has for many years been a mentor and a friend. James K.  Galbraith has been instrumental in helping me develop this work, as well as Bobby Inman and James Steinberg. I also owe a debt to those among Korea and Asia specialists, officials, and friends, who have been supportive: Chan-il An, Guy Arrigoni, John Burzynski, Robert Collins, Ralph Cossa, Robert Dujarric, L.  Gordon Flake, Brad Glosserman, Mike Green, Steve Herman, Peter Humphrey, Mike Green, Mike Keefe, Hugo Wheegook Kim, Jae-bum Kim, Sukwoo Kim, Andre Lankov, David Maxwell, Derek Mitchell, Brian Myers, Chris Nelson, William Newcomb, Sang-woo Rhee, Kihl-jae Ryoo, Greg Scarlatoiu, Daniel Shearf, LJ Singleton, Scott Snyder, Steve Tharp, and Jacco Zwetsloot. If I have left anyone out, it is due to my oversight, as so many people have provided support through this project. Lastly, to my family who has always been there for me, especially my husband Jonath