The effect of terror and economic sector in early career years on future career path
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The effect of terror and economic sector in early career years on future career path Aviad Tur-Sinai1,2 Received: 14 December 2016 / Accepted: 7 June 2019 © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2019
Abstract The study uses the deterioration of security situation in Israel (the “Intifada”) to investigate the uniqueness of results obtained previously in regard to Israel’s security-guard industry, as against other economic sectors, in regard to the employment stability and its implications for future career path. The findings emphasize the negative effect of a person’s mere presence in the labor market during the Intifada on his career path, irrespective of the industry in which he worked. They emphasize the variance attributed to the economic sector in which people hold their first job on their future employment career, as well as the variance attributed to working as a security guard during the Intifada, with the upturn in terror associated with it. The findings stress the role that policymakers should play for minimizing possible adverse effects on the earning trajectory and labor-market attachment of employed persons at a time of declining security and the emphasis and attention that should be given to persons employed in the security-guard industry at any time—due to the inferiority of permanent employment patterns in this industry in contrast to other industries—to minimize possible impairment to their earning trajectory and assure their long-term attachment to the labor market. Keywords Employment mobility · Income mobility · Labor-market attachment · Career development · Difference-in-differences JEL Classification J22 · J31 · J62
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Aviad Tur-Sinai [email protected]
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Department of Health Systems Management, The Max Stern Yezreel Valley College, Yezreel Valley, Israel
2
School of Nursing, University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, NY, USA
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A. Tur-Sinai
1 Introduction Individuals have to devote attention to a broad range of decisions during their careers. The economic advisability of holding on to one’s current job over time and its opposite, seeking alternative job situations, ranks high among the considerations and factors that individuals bear in mind when they determine their future path in the labor market. Most job-switching takes place early in the individual’s employment career (Topel and Ward 1992; Booth et al. 1999; Finney and Kohlhase 2008). According to the labor market matching model (for elaboration, see Jovanovic 1979; Medoff and Abraham 1980; Jovanovic 1984; Miller 1984; Mengistae 2001; Smith and Zenou 2003; Stevens 2003; Moscarini 2005; Barmby and Eberth 2008), individuals’ job mobility declines steadily as their seniority in the labor market grows (Groot and Verberne 1997; Romanov and Zussman 2003; Hammida 2004; Ghosh 2007). The strength of the effect of job mobility on wage, however, is not unequivocally clear (Borjas 1981; Keith and McWilliams 1997; Light and McGarry 1998; Hammida 2004; Munasinghe and Sigman 2004; Miranda 2005). In late autumn 2000, terr
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