Risk Assessment, Modeling and Decision Support Strategic Directions
The papers in this volume integrate results from current research efforts in earthquake engineering with research from the larger risk assessment community. The authors include risk and hazard researchers from the major U.S. hazard and earthquake centers
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Ann Bostrom · Steven French · Sara Gottlieb Editors
Risk Assessment, Modeling and Decision Support Strategic Directions
123
Ann Bostrom Associate Dean of Research & Associate Professor Daniel J. Evans School of Public Affairs University of Washington 327 Parrington Hall Box 353055 Seattle, Washington 98195-3055 USA [email protected]
ISBN 978-3-540-71157-5
Professor Steven French Sara Gottlieb Georgia Institute of Technology Center for Geographic Information Systems College of Architecture Atlanta, GA 30332 USA [email protected] [email protected]
e-ISBN 978-3-540-71158-2
DOI 10.1007/978-3-540-71158-2 Library of Congress Control Number: 2007936685 c 2008 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilm or in any other way, and storage in data banks. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the German Copyright Law of September 9, 1965, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer. Violations are liable to prosecution under the German Copyright Law. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. Production: LE-TEX Jelonek, Schmidt & Vöckler GbR, Leipzig Cover design: WMX Design GmbH, Heidelberg Printed on acid-free paper 987654321 springer.com
Contents
1 Introduction ............................................................................................ 1 1.1 Roadmap to the Book ....................................................................... 2 2 A Brief History of Seismic Risk Assessment ........................................ 5 2.1 Introduction ...................................................................................... 5 2.2 Terminology ..................................................................................... 6 2.3 Overview of Seismic Risk Assessment ............................................ 9 2.4 A Brief Chronology of Selected Events in Seismic Risk Assessment ........................................................................................... 11 2.5 How We Got Here.......................................................................... 11 2.6 Vulnerability................................................................................... 30 2.7 Special Vulnerability Relations...................................................... 40 2.8 Asset Identification and Attributes................................................. 44 2.9 Risk Analysis Methods................................................................... 47 2.10 Assessment ......................................................................
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