Risk Management With Applications from the Offshore Petroleum Indust
Risk management is a process to assist in the decision-making. The risk management process takes the potential hazards as a starting point, in order to identify suitable arrangements and measures for accident prevention and emergency response in case
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Series Editor Professor Hoang Pham Department of Industrial Engineering Rutgers The State University of New Jersey 96 Frelinghuysen Road Piscataway, NJ 08854-8018 USA
Other titles in this series The Universal Generating Function in Reliability Analysis and Optimization Gregory Levitin Warranty Management and Product Manufacture D.N.P Murthy and Wallace R. Blischke Maintenance Theory of Reliability Toshio Nakagawa System Software Reliability Hoang Pham Reliability and Optimal Maintenance Hongzhou Wang and Hoang Pham Applied Reliability and Quality B.S. Dhillon Shock and Damage Models in Reliability Theory Toshio Nakagawa
Terje Aven and Jan Erik Vinnem
Risk Management With Applications from the Offshore Petroleum Industry
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Professor Terje Aven Professor Jan Erik Vinnem University of Stavanger 4036 Stavanger Norway
British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data Aven, T. (Terje) Risk management with applications from the offshore petroleum industry. - (Springer series in reliability engineering) 1. Offshore oil industry - Risk management 2. Risk management I. Title II. Vinnem, Jan Erik 338.2’7282’0684 ISBN-13: 9781846286520 Library of Congress Control Number: 2006940651 Springer Series in Reliability Engineering series ISSN 1614-7839 ISBN 978-1-84628-652-0 e-ISBN 978-1-84628-653-7
Printed on acid-free paper
© Springer-Verlag London Limited 2007 Apart from any fair dealing for the purposes of research or private study, or criticism or review, as permitted under the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988, this publication may only be reproduced, stored or transmitted, in any form or by any means, with the prior permission in writing of the publishers, or in the case of reprographic reproduction in accordance with the terms of licences issued by the Copyright Licensing Agency. Enquiries concerning reproduction outside those terms should be sent to the publishers. The use of registered names, trademarks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher makes no representation, express or implied, with regard to the accuracy of the information contained in this book and cannot accept any legal responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions that may be made. 987654321 Springer Science+Business Media springer.com
Preface
This book is about making decisions in the face of risks and uncertainties. Our ultimate goal is to arrive at decisions that provide desirable outcomes, but the risks and uncertainties oblige us to acknowledge that the best we can do is to obtain confidence in being able to obtain desirable outcomes. At the point of the decisionmaking we do not know the future outcomes of the activities (alternatives) that we are investigating, and the challenge is then, how we should perform the decisionmaking process. More specifically, some of the main challenges are: x x x x x x x x x x x
How we should identify the relevant decision attributes
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