Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future Potentials
The book gives practical guidance for policy makers, analysts and researchers on how to make the most of the potential of Foresight studies. Based on the concept of evidence-based policy-making, Foresight studies are common practice in many countries and
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Dirk Meissner • Leonid Gokhberg • Alexander Sokolov Editors
Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies
Editors Dirk Meissner Leonid Gokhberg Alexander Sokolov National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE) Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge Moscow Russia
ISBN 978-3-642-31826-9 ISBN 978-3-642-31827-6 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-642-31827-6 Springer Heidelberg New York Dordrecht London Library of Congress Control Number: 2013940189 © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. Exempted from this legal reservation are brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis or material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the Copyright Law of the Publisher’s location, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer. Permissions for use may be obtained through RightsLink at the Copyright Clearance Center. Violations are liable to prosecution under the respective Copyright Law. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. While the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication, neither the authors nor the editors nor the publisher can accept any legal responsibility for any errors or omissions that may be made. The publisher makes no warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein. Printed on acid-free paper Springer is part of Springer Science+Business Media (www.springer.com)
Contents
1
The Meaning of Foresight for Science, Technology and Innovation Policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Dirk Meissner, Leonid Gokhberg, and Alexander Sokolov
Part I 2
1
Instruments and Tools for Foresight Studies
Integrated Framework for Evaluation of National Foresight Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Anna Sokolova and Ekaterina Makarova
11
3
Results and Impact of National Foresight-Studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Dirk Meissner
31
4
Instruments to measure Foresight . . . . . . . . . . . . .
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