Surface Runoff and Drought Assessment Using Global Water Resources Datasets - from Oum Er Rbia Basin to the Moroccan Cou

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Surface Runoff and Drought Assessment Using Global Water Resources Datasets - from Oum Er Rbia Basin to the Moroccan Country Scale Stefan Strohmeier 1 & Patricia López López 2,3 & Mira Haddad 1 & Vinay Nangia 4 & Mohammed Karrou 4 & Gianni Montanaro 4 & Abdelghani Boudhar 5 & Clara Linés 6 & Ted Veldkamp 7 & Geert Sterk 3 Received: 16 December 2017 / Accepted: 25 March 2019/ # Springer Nature B.V. 2019

Abstract Precipitation and surface runoff vary strongly in space and time across Morocco. The country’s water management is primarily governed at the basin level, following a decentralized approach. However, in some cases, water is shared between basins, which increases the complexity and the potential for conflicts. The current study, conducted at Oum Er Rbia (OER) basin and Moroccan country scales, evaluates the use of novel Earth Observation (EO) products (surface soil moisture and evapotranspiration) combined with global water balance model (PCR-GLOBWB) for basin level surface runoff and country level drought assessment. At the basin level, OER River discharges considerable surface water amounts from the Middle Atlas Mountains to large reservoirs, providing water for various sectors, predominantly irrigated agriculture. The EO based PCR-GLOBWB model yielded satisfactory monthly surface runoff results validated through two OER streamflow gauges. Spatially distributed quarterly annual surface runoff matched well with the simulations achieved through more detailed Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) modeling. EO data and PCRGLOBWB model were subsequently used to investigate country scale drought occurrence using various drought indicators (Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Runoff Index (SRI), and Standardized Soil Moisture Index (SSMI)). The study concludes on a foremost local to regional nature of droughts. Consistent assessment of water stress situations, from the basin to the country scale, suggest the good potential of novel EO products and global models to support demand driven water management, especially in data scarce areas. Keywords Earth observation data . Global water balance model . Inter-basin water management . Drought indicator . Surface runoff

* Stefan Strohmeier [email protected]; [email protected] Extended author information available on the last page of the article

Strohmeier S. et al.

1 Introduction Water is a major component of the Moroccan economy, with droughts resulting in significant impacts on the country’s GDP (ISKANE Ingeniérie 2009). Over the years, large hydraulic infrastructure has been built to stimulate the country’s socio-economic development and to respond to the increasing water demand from its various sectors (Ministry of Water 2016). Of all the sectors, agriculture is the largest water user, consuming over 90% of the country’s freshwater resources (Kalpakian et al. 2014; Schyns and Hoekstra 2014). Irrigated agriculture accounts for approximately 45% of the annual crop production and 75% of exports, by only covering 15% of the agricultural la