The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on firms: a survey in Guangdong Province, China
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(2020) 5:41
Global Health Research and Policy
RESEARCH
Open Access
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on firms: a survey in Guangdong Province, China Peng Zou, Di Huo and Meng Li*
Abstract Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all sectors of the world economy and society. To understand the impact of the pandemic on firms in China and suggest public policies to deal with the negative effects, we investigated firms in Guangdong Province. Methods: The survey sample included 524 firms in 15 cities in Guangdong Province. We chose these firms from the list published by the government, considering the industrial characteristics of Guangdong province and firm size. The questionnaire was developed based on previous studies carried out by UNDP. It comprised four categories with a total of 17 questions. The executives of firms were contacted by telephone or WeChat, and were invited to answer self-administered questionnaires through an online survey platform. The data was analyzed by SPSS. Results: The following key findings were revealed through the survey: (1) 48.7% of firms maintained stability, and 35.1% experienced a halt in operation or faced closure; (2) Nearly 70–90% already exploit online commerce or are willing to do so, and also remote office work, and digital operations. (3) 46% believe that they will certainly incur losses for 2020, and 83.5% expect the city’s GDP to decrease. Conclusions: Firms in Guangdong Province have faced great challenges in the epidemic. Their production and operation activities have been limited, and they are facing significant risks. It is necessary to implement policies that would profoundly lower production costs for firms, help them survive this difficult period, and gradually return to normal business. Keywords: COVID-19 pandemic, Economic impact, Public policy, Health risks
Background The current COVID-19 is a rapidly evolving global challenge and like any pandemic, it weakens health systems, costs lives, and also poses great risks to the global economy and security [1–4]. According to data from World Health Organization (WHO) and Johns Hopkins University, as end- of June 2020, there have been ten million cases around the world, causing nearly 500,000 deaths in around 215 countries (https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/inde x.html). The COVID-19 pandemic is a public health * Correspondence: [email protected] School of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, No. 13 Fayuan District, Harbin 150001, China
emergency and is likely to continue to cause serious public health damage including major infectious diseases, mass unexplained diseases, major food poisoning and other serious public health issues [5]. Global economic growth is expected to decrease continually [6, 7] and according to the an OECD forecast, the global GDP growth rate will drop to 2.4% in 2020 [3]. The risk of uncertainty and global recession has increased greatly [8, 9],1 due to disruptions in the supply chain, shrinking demand for consumption and investment, significant weakening of economic a
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