Time Predictions Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Pla

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Predicting the time needed to complete a project, task or daily activity can be difficult and people frequently underestimate how long an activity will take. This book sheds light on why and w

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Torleif Halkjelsvik Magne Jørgensen

Time Predictions Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life

Simula SpringerBriefs on Computing Volume 5

Editor-in-chief Aslak Tveito, Fornebu, Norway Series editors Are Magnus Bruaset, Fornebu, Norway Kimberly Claffy, San Diego, USA Magne Jørgensen, Fornebu, Norway Olav Lysne, Fornebu, Norway Andrew McCulloch, La Jolla, USA Fabian Theis, Neuherberg, Germany Karen Willcox, Cambridge, USA Andreas Zeller, Saarbrücken, Germany

More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/13548

Torleif Halkjelsvik Magne Jørgensen •

Time Predictions Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life

Torleif Halkjelsvik Norwegian Institute of Public Health Oslo Norway

Magne Jørgensen Department of Software Engineering Simula Research Laboratory Fornebu Norway

Simula SpringerBriefs on Computing ISBN 978-3-319-74952-5 ISBN 978-3-319-74953-2 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-74953-2

(eBook)

Library of Congress Control Number: 2018932516 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s) 2018. This book is an open access publication. Open Access This book is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this book are included in the book’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the book’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. Printed on acid-free paper This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer International Publishing AG part of Springer Nature The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland

Foreword

Dear reader, Our aim with the series Simula SpringerBriefs on Computing is to provide compact introduct