Urban Dynamics and Simulation Models
This monograph presents urban simulation methods that help in better understanding urban dynamics. Over historical times, cities have progressively absorbed a larger part of human population and will concentrate three quarters of humankind before the end
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Denise Pumain Romain Reuillon
Urban Dynamics and Simulation Models
Lecture Notes in Morphogenesis Series editor Alessandro Sarti, CAMS Center for Mathematics, CNRS-EHESS, Paris, France e-mail: [email protected]
More information about this series athttp://www.springer.com/series/11247
Denise Pumain Romain Reuillon •
Urban Dynamics and Simulation Models Guillaume Chérel Clémentine Cottineau Robin Cura Mathieu Leclaire Sébastien Rey-Coyrehourcq Clara Schmitt Elfie Swerts
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Denise Pumain Université Paris I Panthéon-Sorbonne and UMR Géographie-Cités Paris France
ISSN 2195-1934 Lecture Notes in Morphogenesis ISBN 978-3-319-46495-4 DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-46497-8
Romain Reuillon CNRS, UMR Géographie-Cités and Institut des Systèmes Complexes Paris-Ile-de-France Paris France
ISSN 2195-1942
(electronic)
ISBN 978-3-319-46497-8
(eBook)
Library of Congress Control Number: 2016956834 © Springer International Publishing AG 2017 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. Printed on acid-free paper This Springer imprint is published by Springer Nature The registered company is Springer International Publishing AG The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland
Acknowledgements
That research was supported by the advanced grant GeoDiverCity of the European Research Council.
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Contents
1 Is Urban Future Predictable? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.1 Emergence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.2 Generic Dynamic Features of Systems of Cities . . . . . . . . . . 1.2.1 The Hierarchical Differentiation of City Sizes . . . . . . 1.2.2 The Meta-Stability of Urban Hierarchies . . . . . . . . . . 1.2.3 A Regular Quasi-stochastic Process of Growth . . . . . 1.2.4 Hierarchical Diffusion of Innovation Waves and Functional Specializations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3 Variety in the Evolution of Urban Systems . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3.1 A Simplified Ty
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