Correction to: Model uncertainties in climate change impacts on Sahel precipitation in ensembles of CMIP5 and CMIP6 simu
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CORRECTION
Correction to: Model uncertainties in climate change impacts on Sahel precipitation in ensembles of CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations Paul‑Arthur Monerie1 · Caroline M. Wainwright1 · Moussa Sidibe2 · Akintomide Afolayan Akinsanola3
© Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2020
Correction to: Climate Dynamics https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05332-0
The original version of the article contained errors in the Figs. 1 and 2 captions and captions of the Figs. 1 and 2 were swapped and below are the corrected captions. Fig. 1 Multi-model mean precipitation biases in JAS for a set of a 29 CMIP5 simulations and b 11 CMIP6 simulations. Biases (shadings) are computed as the difference between the JAS mean historical simulations (period 1979– 1999) minus the JAS mean observed precipitation (period 1979–1999; GPCC). On a and b the red contours indicate the climatological JAS observed precipitation (from 0 to 16 mm day−1, every 2 mm day−1). Stippling indicate that at least 70% of the models agree on the sign of the multimodel mean bias. Probability density function as obtained from a set of 3 million of randomly computed ensemble of 11 CMIP5 c multi-model mean bias and d inter-model bias spread for the western Sahel precipitation (black line) and the central Sahel precipitation (red line). On panels c and d, the vertical lines indicate the multi-model mean bias and the inter-model spread in precipitation biases, as obtained from the set of 11 CMIP6 simulations. Fig. 2 a CMIP5 multi-model mean change in precipitation as obtained by the difference between the period 2060–2099 The original article can be found online at https://doi.org/10.1007/ s00382-020-05332-0. * Paul‑Arthur Monerie [email protected] 1
National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading, Reading, UK
2
Centre for Agroecology, Water and Resilience (CAWR), Coventry University, Coventry, UK
3
Department of Geography, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, USA
(rcp8.5 emission scenario) minus the period 1960–1999 (historical emission scenario), for JAS. The red contours show the multi-mean mean historical precipitation (from 0 to 16 mm day−1, every 2 mm day−1). b same as a but for the CMIP6 multi-model mean precipitation and with the historical and ssp585 emission scenarios. Stippling indicates that at least 70% of the models agree on the sign of the multi-mode mean precipitation change. Inter-model spread in precipitation change (colour) with the inter-model spread in historical precipitation (contour) for the c CMIP5 and d CMIP6 simulations. Stippling indicates that uncertainty due to model formulation account for at least 80% of the total uncertainty (see the text for further information). e Change in precipitation for each model over the Western [10N–20N; 20W–5W; “W”] and the central [10N–20N; 5W–20E; “C”] Sahel (see the boxes on the panel a). The grey shading indicates the inter-model standard deviation and the cross the multi-model mean average in precipitation change. CMIP5 simulations (“5”) ar
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