Envisioning Uncertain Futures Scenarios as a Tool in Security, Priv
This book contains a collection of projects and scenarios dealing with new risks from emerging technologies, future peace keeping operations, and water distribution issues by combining analysis with dialogue. Special attention is paid to the methodology o
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Roman Peperhove · Karlheinz Steinmüller Hans-Liudger Dienel Editors
Envisioning Uncertain Futures Scenarios as a Tool in Security, Privacy and Mobility Research
Zukunft und Forschung Band 6 Reihe herausgegeben von Martin Lu Kolbinger und Elmar Schüll, Puch/Salzburg, Österreich
Wissenschaftliche Schriftenreihe "Zukunft und Forschung" der Forschungsgruppe Innovation und Gesellschaft am Fachhochschul-Masterstudiengang Soziale Innovation
Weitere Bände in der Reihe http://www.springer.com/series/8154
Roman Peperhove · Karlheinz Steinmüller · Hans-Liudger Dienel (Eds.)
Envisioning Uncertain Futures Scenarios as a Tool in Security, Privacy and Mobility Research
Editors Roman Peperhove Berlin, Germany
Karlheinz Steinmüller Berlin, Germany
Hans-Liudger Dienel Berlin, Germany
Zukunft und Forschung ISBN 978-3-658-25074-4 (eBook) ISBN 978-3-658-25073-7 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-25074-4 Library of Congress Control Number: 2018966708 Springer VS © Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden GmbH, part of Springer Nature 2018 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. This Springer VS imprint is published by the registered company Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden GmbH part of Springer Nature The registered company address is: Abraham-Lincoln-Str. 46, 65189 Wiesbaden, Germany
Content
Foreword ................................................................................................. 9 Yair Sharan
Introduction .......................................................................................... 15 Roman Peperhove
I. Scenarios – A Methodological Tool Narrative Scenarios as an Analytical Instrument ............................ 23 Karlheinz Steinmüller
Scenarios that tell a Story. Normative Narrative Scenarios – An Efficient Tool for Participative Innovation-Oriented Foresight ..... 37 Robert Gaßner, Karlheinz Steinmüller
Surprising Scenarios. Imagin
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