Modelling Land-Use Change Progress and Applications
The use of land changes over time as both natural and man-made environments are influenced by the pressures associated with the processes of development. The demand for land for new residential housing has been a huge challenge for governments striving to
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The GeoJournal Library Volume 90 Managing Editor:
Max Barlow, Toronto, Canada
Founding Series Editor: Wolf Tietze, Helmstedt, Germany
Editorial Board:
Paul Claval, France Yehuda Gradus, Israel Sam Ock Park, South Korea Herman van der Wusten, The Netherlands
The titles published in this series are listed at the end of this volume.
Modelling Land-Use Change Progress and Applications
Edited by
ERIC KOOMEN Department of Spatial Economics/SPINlab, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, The Netherlands
JOHN STILLWELL School of Geography, University of Leeds, United Kingdom
ALDRIK BAKEMA Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, The Netherlands
and
HENK J. SCHOLTEN Department of Spatial Economics/SPINlab, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, The Netherlands
A C.I.P. Catalogue record for this book is available from the Library of Congress
ISBN 978-1-4020-6484-5 (PB) ISBN 978-1-4020-5648-2 (e-book)
Published by Springer, P.O. Box 17, 3300 AA Dordrecht, The Netherlands.
www.springer.com
Printed on acid-free paper
All Rights Reserved © 2007 Springer No part of this work may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, microfilming, recording or otherwise, without written permission from the Publisher, with the exception of any material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work.
Contents Contributing authors
ix
Preface
xv
Acknowledgements
xvii 1
1. Modelling land-use change E. KOOMEN AND J. STILLWELL PART I: Analysis of land-use trends and their driving forces 2. Land-use change at cadastral parcel level in Albania L.J.M. JANSEN, G. CARRAI AND M. PETRI 3. Driving forces of landscape change in the urbanizing Limmat Valley, Switzerland A.M. HERSPERGER AND M. BÜRGI 4. Landscape changes in the Israeli Carmel area M. SONIS, M. SHOSHANY AND N. GOLDSHLAGER 5. New land-use development processes associated with the acceleration of urbanisation in China Z.-G. WU, S.-H. ZHOU AND C.-C. FENG
25
45
61
83
PART II: Explanatory models of land-use change 6. Driving forces of land-use change in a cultural landscape of Spain 97 J. PEÑA, A. BONET, J. BELLOT, J.R. SÁNCHEZ, D. EISENHUTH, S. HALLETT AND A. ALEDO v
vi
Contents
7. Empirically derived probability maps to downscale aggregated land-use data N. DENDONCKER, P. BOGAERT, AND M. ROUNSEVELL 8. A spatial interaction model for agricultural uses J. GONÇALVES AND T. DENTINHO
117 133
PART III: Optimisation modelling 9. Spatial optimisation in land-use allocation problems W. LOONEN, P. HEUBERGER, M. KUIJPERS-LINDE
147
10. Sustainable land-use and water management in mountain ecosystems S.K. MANDAL
167
11. GeneticLand: modelling land-use change using evolutionary algorithms J. SEIXAS, J.P. NUNES, P. LOURENÇO AND J. CORTE-REAL
181
PART IV: Incorporation of new modelling approaches 12. Microsimulation of metropolitan employment deconcentration D. FELSENSTEIN, E. ASHBEL AND A. BEN-NUN 13
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