Mortality rate of acute kidney injury in SARS, MERS, and COVID-19 infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis

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RESEARCH LETTER

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Mortality rate of acute kidney injury in SARS, MERS, and COVID-19 infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis Yih-Ting Chen1,2†, Shih-Chieh Shao3,4†, Edward Chia-Cheng Lai3, Ming-Jui Hung5,6 and Yung-Chang Chen1,7,8,9*

Keywords: Acute kidney injury, Mortality, COVID-19, MERS, SARS Acute kidney injury (AKI), a predictor for poor clinical outcomes, has been reported as a severe complication of different coronavirus infections, including novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) [1]. COVID-19 is considered more contagious than previous coronavirus infections, e.g., severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) [2], but comparisons of mortality rates from AKI among these three coronavirus infections remain uninvestigated. We therefore conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis comparing the mortality rate in patients with SARS, MERS, and COVID-19 who developed AKI. A systematic search of PUBMED and EMBASE from inception to June 5, 2020, included the keywords “coronavirus”, “COVID-19”, “MERS”, “SARS”, “acute kidney injury”, “prognosis”, and “mortality” with suitable MeSH terms to identify observational studies of relevance, e.g., case reports, case series, cross-sectional studies, and cohort studies. Reference lists of included, published, systematic reviews identified in the search were screened for additional studies. We excluded conference abstracts, review articles, or studies without reports of AKI mortality. Two reviewers (YTC, SCS) screened titles and abstracts of search results for relevance and individually * Correspondence: [email protected] † Yih-Ting Chen and Shih-Chieh Shao contributed equally to this work. 1 Department of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, Keelung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Keelung, Taiwan 7 Kidney Research Center, Department of Nephrology, Linkou Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan Full list of author information is available at the end of the article

and independently assessed the full texts of selected results. The final list of included studies was derived by discussion and unanimous agreement from both authors. Statistical analyses were performed using MedCalc for Windows, version 15.0 (MedCalc Software, Ostend, Belgium). We report the mortality rate from AKI in SARS, MERS, and COVID-19 infections as proportions with 95% confidence interval (CI) based on random effects model, represented by forest plot. We detected heterogeneity among studies using the Cochran Q test, with p value < 0.10 indicating significant heterogeneity, and calculated I2 statistic to determine the proportion of total variation in study estimates attributable to heterogeneity. After screening 97 records in total, we excluded 74 articles (15 duplicates, 11 irrelevant to study question, 1 conference abstract, 5 review articles and 42 lacking data on AKI mortality). Our final analysis included 23 articles comprising 4, 3 and 16 on SARS, MERS and COVID-19 infection, respectively. Demographic data for included articl