Ranking of scenarios, actors and goals of food security: motivation for information seeking by food security decision ma

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Ranking of scenarios, actors and goals of food security: motivation for information seeking by food security decision makers Shamin Renwick1 

© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2020

Abstract The establishment of the millennium development goals (MDGs) in 2000 and the sustainable development goals (SDGs) in 2015 (several of which are relevant to food security) meant that countries may use these markers to evaluate their progress and development. In order to achieve the targets identified in the SDGs which focus on food security, two scenarios have been identified. The aim of this paper is to rank the scenarios which would better assist in achieving food security, the actors and the goals of food security, expecting that the results would serve to inform the motivation and information seeking habits of decision makers in three Caribbean countries. The analytic hierarchy process and point score analysis were used to analyse the ranks assigned by the respondents. It was found that overall for policymakers/stakeholders/experts, trade-based food security was ranked higher than self-sufficiency food security and that Trinidad and Tobago and Barbados ranked it more important than in Belize. Regarding actors in obtaining food security, government was ranked most important in Trinidad and Tobago and Barbados but Belize felt that farmers were more significant. The economic goals of food security were ranked higher than physical and political goals, with socio-cultural goals ranked least important. Of the sub-goals, post disaster food security (physical); ensuring a stable food supply (political); having optimum levels of productivity (economic); and decreasing chronic non-communicable diseases and obesity (socio-cultural goals) were rated most important. These results reflect the motivation and information seeking behaviour of decision makers. They illustrate the ‘bias’ in searching and selecting information and where balance would be needed to treat with all aspects of food security. Keywords  Analytic hierarchy process · Caribbean · MDGS · Point score analysis · SDGS · West Indies Abbreviations AHP Analytical hierarchy process CNCDs Chronic non-communicable diseases MDGs Millennium development goals PSA Point score analysis SDGs Sustainable development goals UWI The University of the West Indies

1 Introduction The popular definition of food security, “food security exists when all people, at all times, have physical and economic access to sufficient, safe and nutritious food to meet their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and healthy * Shamin Renwick [email protected]; [email protected] 1



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life” (FAO 1996), was derived from the 1996 World Food Summit when global targets sought to “halve the 800 million of undernourished people by 2015” (FAO 1996). More recently, in 2015, the United Nations (UN) introduced 17 Sustainable Development Golas (SDGs) in the “2030 Agenda for Sustainable Devel