Spatial Analyses of Electricity Supply and Consumption in Turkey for Effective Energy Management and Policy-making

Over the past decades, both public and private institutions have extensively analyzed energy supply and demand on national and international bases (WEC-TNC 2004; Munasinghe and Meier 1993). The main focus of these analyses has mainly been the security of

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1 Introduction Over the past decades, both public and private institutions have extensively analyzed energy supply and demand on national and international bases (WEC-TNC 2004; Munasinghe and Meier 1993). The main focus of these analyses has mainly been the security of the energy supply and the determination of income and price elasticity of energy consumption (Zachariadis and Pashourtidou 2006). In addition, concerns about climate change are considered as another motivation for these analyses (Kuik 2003). This kind of information is useful for making inferences about energy policy implications. Moreover, energy plays a vital role in the economic, social and political development of any nation (Surrey 1996; Varian 2002; ECN 2006). Therefore, no modern society can seriously address development issues if the consideration is not based on a foundation of an adequate, sustainable, and affordable energy supply (Akinbami and Lawal 2009). An efficient, resilient energy infrastructure to reliably supply sufficient, affordable energy to meet increasing demand is crucial for achieving these goals. Like other nations, Turkey faces an ever-increasing demand for electricity. Between 1980 and 2000, the average growth rate of total electricity consumption in Turkey was 8.1% per annum, while the real GDP grew an average of 4.4% annually during the same period. Electricity consumption per capita also steadily grew from 459 kWh in 1980 to 1457 kWh in 2000. This was still low compared to other countries in the Organisation of Economic Developing Countries (OECD). Turkey faced electricity shortages during the early 1980s and the 1990s, and the same period was also marked by economic crises. Insufficient public funds and the poor performance of state-owned electricity monopolies led to a reform in the electric-

M. Schmidt et al. (eds.), Implementing Environmental and Resource Management, DOI 10.1007/978-3-540-77568-3_14, © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2011

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ity sector following the economic crisis in 2001, aiming to create a competitive energy market, (Özkývrak 2005; Altınay and Karagöl 2005). Therefore, Turkey must have sufficient capacity and secure energy sources to be able to supply affordable electricity constantly to compete in world markets. To achieve this, effective and measurable decision-making tools and approaches for energy management and policymaking must be in place. Thus, this study aims to investigate the spatial distribution of electricity generation and consumption in Turkey using Geographical Information System (GIS) and spatial data analysis methods. This can provide information that will guide decision and policymaking on energy management in Turkey. The chapter is organised as follows: section 14.1 starts with a discussion of the importance of energy management and possible uses of spatial analysis in energy sector management and policymaking. Section 14.2 describes data collection and processing. Section 14.3 shows visualisation results of electricity generation capacit