The Effect of Climate Changes on the Wetland Moisture Variations and Its Correlation with Sand-Dust Events in a Semiarid

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RESEARCH ARTICLE

The Effect of Climate Changes on the Wetland Moisture Variations and Its Correlation with Sand-Dust Events in a Semiarid Environment, Northwestern Iran Zohre Ebrahimi-Khusfi1



Reza Ghazavi2 • Mahdi Zarei3

Received: 1 January 2020 / Accepted: 5 October 2020 Ó Indian Society of Remote Sensing 2020

Abstract Climate change impacts on soil moisture have caused numerous environmental problems in different regions of the world, especially the arid and semiarid regions. The present study was carried out to examine the effect of climate change on soil moisture variations across a semiarid region of Iran, namely Meyghan wetland, using the multivariate regression. Mean Modified Normalized Difference Water Index (mMNDWI) was utilized to monitor soil moisture variations over the 28-year study period (1990–2017). The association between alteration in soil surface moisture (SM) and Dust Storm Index (DSI) was also explored using the bivariate regression method. Results showed that the area has experienced an increasing trend of soil moisture losses with a rate of 0.02 per 28 years. Increased wind velocity and decreased precipitation were recognized as the major driving forces in wetland degradation. The standardized regression coefficients for these factors were estimated at ? 0.34 and - 0.28, respectively. However, no significant relationship was found between air temperature and evapotranspiration with mMNDWI. Based on adjusted determination coefficient (R2Adj), 75% of variations in soil moisture could be explained by rainfall and surface winds velocity changes across the study area. Our results showed that the ridge regression was able to show the dependence of mMNDWI variations on meteorological elements. It was also indicated that 23% of incremental changes in sand-dust events were due to wetland destruction. These findings provided a theoretical basis for understanding the climate change effects on soil moisture and the wetland degradation on dust emission over a semiarid region. Keywords Wetland  Dust storm  Desertification  Remote sensing  Soil moisture  Iran

Introduction

& Zohre Ebrahimi-Khusfi [email protected] Reza Ghazavi [email protected] Mahdi Zarei [email protected] 1

Department of Natural Science, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Jiroft, Jiroft, Iran

2

Department of Watershed Management, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Kashan, Isfahan, Iran

3

Research Center of Social Studies and Geographical Sciences, Hakim Sabzevari University, Sabzevar, Iran

Climate change is one of the most critical natural phenomena which had undesirable effects on the various ecosystems, including agriculture lands, rangelands, and wetlands (Alongi 2015; Atabey Peker et al. 2018; Pecl et al. 2017; Osland et al. 2016). Among them, wetlands as the transitional zones between aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems play a significant role in sustainable development (Finlayson et al. 2018). They contribute to increase groundwater table, improve water quality, reduce floodwater spe