Economic development, energy consumption, financial development, and carbon dioxide emissions in Saudi Arabia: new evide
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RESEARCH ARTICLE
Economic development, energy consumption, financial development, and carbon dioxide emissions in Saudi Arabia: new evidence from a nonlinear and asymmetric analysis Bechir Raggad 1,2,3 Received: 5 January 2020 / Accepted: 10 March 2020 # Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2020
Abstract This study investigates the asymmetric effects of economic growth, energy use, and financial development, on carbon dioxide emissions in Saudi Arabia, from 1971 to 2014, using the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model. Prior to the application of the model, the integration proprieties of the variables were examined employing the recently RALS-LM (Residual Augmented Least squares—Lagrange Multiplier) unit root test, with two endogenous structural breaks. The main finding is that there exists an asymmetric cointegration relationship among the variables. In the long-run, both positive and negative shocks in economic growth rise emissions, but the effect of positive shocks is larger. In addition, both positive shocks in energy consumption and negative shocks in financial development surge CO2 emissions. In the short-run, the increasing economic growth is being made at the expense of the polluted environment. In contrast, any decrease in the economic growth would contribute to the improvement of environmental quality. Furthermore, positive shocks on energy consumption surges CO2 emissions and positive shocks in financial development reduces emissions. The asymmetric causality test of Hatemi-J (2012) suggests that economic growth (positive shocks) causes carbon dioxide emissions. At the same time, CO2 emissions (positive shocks) cause energy consumption. However, no significant causal relationship is found between financial development and CO2 emissions. In light of these findings, some policy implications are recommended. Keywords CO2 emissions . Economic growth . Energy consumption . Financial development . Asymmetries . Saudi Arabia
Introduction The earth’s climate is changing more rapidly than ever experienced in the recorded human history, mainly due to the fast release of carbon dioxide (CO2) from the burning of fossil
Responsible editor: Nicholas Apergis * Bechir Raggad [email protected] 1
Department of Business Administration, College of Science and Humanities in Rumaah, Majmaah University, Al-Majmaah 11952, Saudi Arabia
2
Faculty of Economics and Management in Nabeul, University of Carthage, Carthage, Tunisia
3
BESTMOD laboratory, Higher Institute of Management of Tunis, University of Tunis, Carthage, Tunisia
fuels. Determined by higher energy demand, energy-related CO2 emissions attained a new record in 2018 and rose by 1.7% to 33.1 billion tons from the previous year, the highest level of growth since 2013, according to a recent report released by the International Energy Agency1 (IEA). In the same report, the IEA warned that the level of carbon dioxide (CO2) in the atmosphere is becoming alarming and therefore “urgent action” is needed in order to mitigate environm
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